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The Oxford Handbook of Political Leadership (Oxford Handbooks)
Built to Last
How the Mighty Fall: And Why Some Companies Never Give In
No Limits Blow the Cap Off Your Capacity
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Greats lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; theyre impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the experts, The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty.
|Author||Nassim Nicholas Taleb|
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